Gambling content 21+. The New York Post may receive an affiliate commi sion if you sign up through our links. Read our for more information. The Rangers entered this series against the Yankees as winners in five of their last six games. However, they faced some pretty mediocre competition, with those victories coming against the Athletics and White Sox, two clubs with a combined .329 winning percentage. Texas will now step up in cla s against a Yankees team with the best record at 80-58 after grabbing Mondays series opener, . The Yankees still have plenty to play for down the stretch, while the Rangers simply play out the string. In Tuesdays matchup, which features two southpaws, New York is the side that offers value as a -130 road favorite at . Explore More Yankees analysis Carlos Rodn will for the Yankees, and hes showing much more quality now that hes finally healthy. Rodn managed just 14 appearances in his first year in New York, going 3-8 with a 6.85 ERA. This season, hes improved to 14-9 while bringing his ERA down to 4.31. His numbers would be even better if he could do a better job keeping the ball inside the park. Carlos Rodon struggled last time out against the Nationals. Rafael Suanes-USA TODAY Sports In 2024, Rodn is allowing 1.54 home runs per nine innings compared to a 0.88 mark in 2021 and 0.61 in 2022, when he had his best seasons. Interestingly, his velocity is just as hard (95.5 mph fastball average) as it has ever been at any point in his major league career. While Isaac Bonga Jersey hes never been one who throws a ton of ground balls, he posted better numbers in those seasons because his home ballparks were more pitcher-friendly. Rodn should fare much better against a Rangers lineup with a .140 ISO average, the sixth-worst mark in the league. Rangers analysis Texas will counter with Andrew Heaney, who has easily pitched better than his 4-13 record. His 3.95 FIP is right in line with his 3.94 ERA, meaning his advanced stats dont point to any sizeable regre sion. However, Heaney has primarily struggled when facing New York. According to Baseball Savant, in 101 plate appearances, this Yankees roster has a .289 xBA against him, with a .394 xWOBA and .585 xSLG. Heaneys pitching arsenal consists mainly of three pitches: a fastball (52.7%), a slider (27.8%) and a changeup (16.2%). Hell occasionally mix in a curveball, which he throws roughly 3% of the time. Corey Seager and the Rangers are having a down year after winning a title. Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports The problem is New York ranks second and sixth in runs above average against his two primary pitches. And if he tries to utilize his changeup more, the Yankees hitters will likely pick up the speed because hes lost a little bit of separation in velocity between the offspeed pitch and his fastball. Heaney does have good command and often pitches in and around the plate to try and get hitters to chase. But the Yankees are a very patient group with a league-best 10.5% walk rate. Heaney will have come inside the zone at some point, and the Yankees will be ready to strike. Yankees vs. Rangers pick This is one of those matchups where the other team seems to have a pitchers number. According to the Action Network, Heaneys teams are 89-90 (49.7%) in the games he starts. However, against the Yankees, his teams are on a 0-6 skid and 1-6 in his career. Learn all you need to know about MLB Betting Read about the Learn all about Moreover, the Rangers are coming off a win in Heaneys last start, and theyve won back-to-back games in his starts just once this entire season. Look for the Yankees to overwhelm the Rangers, and were getting a decent price with the visitors at -130 odds. Pick: Yankees moneyline (-130, ) Ian Mahinmi Jersey