Matt Swartz has created a model to project salaries for arbitration eligible players, which weve been publishing at MLB Trade Rumors for 15 years. In the baseball industry, teams and agents determine arbitration salaries by identifying comparable players. To project the entire arbitration cla s in this way would take a ma sive amount of time and effort. So, Matt has developed an algorithm to project arbitration salaries that looks at the players playing time, position, role, and performance statistics while accounting for inflation. The performance of comparable players matters, but our system is not directly selecting individual comps for each individual player. As a disclaimer, it should be emphasized that our projections are not to be used as a scorecard for the agent and team on an individual player level. A player doing better or worse than our projection isnt indicative of anything. Our arbitration projections are created as a tool for our readers to get a general idea of a teams payroll situation. While the service time figures included are official, there is not yet an established Super Two cutoff, which delineates which players with between two and three years of service qualify for early arbitration. That could lead to a few late entrants being added to the list. Its also worth noting that contracts signed prior to the non-tender deadline arent generally considered to be normal arbitration comparables; contracts signed prior to that deadline can be skewed by light offers that are presented to borderline non-tender candidates in take-it-or-leave-it fashion (with leave it, in such instances, being a non-tender). Thats not universal to all pre-tender deals but is frequently applicable. One other note: its increasingly common for teams to negotiate one-year deals with club options or mutual options covering an additional arbitration season. Weve noted all of the players who have an option for the 2025 season under the terms of a prior agreement. If the team buys out that option, the playerdoes not become a free agent. He simply is paid whatever buyout (if any) was agreed upon under the terms of the prior agreement and heads back through the arbitration proce s again this winter. If you find MLBTRs arbitration projections useful, please consider . Trade Rumors Front Office subscribers received early acce s to these arbitration projections, and the subscription the best research tools you can get without actually working for an MLB team: our contract tracker, our agency database and our GM tracker. The projections: Angels (10) (5.164): $13.7MM (5.045): $2MM (4.090): $1MM (4.085): $5.5MM (4.018): $1.2MM (3.159): $2.6MM (3.121): $3.2MM (3.009): $800K (3.008): $2.9MM (2.170): $4.1MM Astros (16) (5.162): $5.8MM (5.089): $2MM (5.083): $2.2MM (5.025): $4.4MM (5.022): $5.9MM (5.015): $2.1MM (4.161): $3.4MM (4.160): $9.3MM (4.118): $6.5MM (4.044): $3.5MM (4.000): $7.9MM (3.035): $5.7MM (3.035): $4.5MM (2.170): $1.5MM (2.156): $1.1MM (2.144): $900K Athletics (5) (5.017): $1.8MM (3.051): $5.1MM (3.029): $2.2MM (2.150): $900K (2.149): $900K Blue Jays (7) (5.128): $9.7MM (5.091): $4.4MM (5.018): $1.7MM (4.157): $2MM (3.168): $4.3MM (3.109): $800K (3.066): $1MM Braves (9) (5.097): $3.6MM (4.117): $3.4MM (4.064): $1.5MM (4.063): $2.2MM (3. Drew Hutchison Jersey 150): $1.9MM (3.140): $1.2MM (3.014): $800K (2.166): $1.1MM (2.164): $1.5MM Brewers (7) (5.084): $2MM (4.142): $7.8MM (4.112): $11.1MM (Brewers hold a $12MM club option with a $100K buyout) (4.022): $1.6MM (4.002): $4.2MM (3.040): $1MM (2.165): $4.4MM Cardinals (9) (5.165): $2.1MM (5.045): $4.4MM (4.148): $2.1MM (4.076): $5.7MM (4.000): $5.4MM (3.145): $3.4MM (3.114): $2.9MM (3.029): $3.5MM (2.144): $2.8MM Cubs (4) (5.110): $1.9MM (4.143): $6.55MM (4.091): $1.1MM (3.027): $1.9MM Diamondbacks (11) (5.129): $1.4MM (5.124): $3.3MM (5.095): $3.9MM (5.033): $3MM (4.078): $1.2MM (4.015): $2.4MM (3.103): $2.2MM (3.081): $1MM (3.074): $1.9MM (3.061): $2.4MM (3.020): $3.3MM Dodgers (9) (5.167): $2.8MM (5.152): $5.4MM (5.136): $6.1MM (5.078): $4.1MM (Dodgers hold a $3.55MM club option with a $50K buyout) (4.135): $1.7MM (4.093): $1.4MM (3.135): $1.3MM (3.031): $800K (2.161): $1.5MM Giants (5) (5.162): $2.1MM (5.090): $1.3MM (5.047): $2MM (2.136): $2.5MM (2.136): $2.2MM Guardians (8) (5.004): $1.9MM (4.157): $1.3375MM (4.000): $8.8MM (3.133): $2.7MM (3.007): $2MM (2.155): $900K (2.154): $1.2MM (2.153): $1MM Marlins (7) (4.153): $2.3MM (3.168): $1.53MM (3.147): $3.7MM (3.066): $1.5MM (3.053): $800K (2.166): $1.3MM (2.156): $1.9MM Mariners (10) (5.148): $2.5MM (5.129): $18.2MM (4.144): $10MM (4.000): $1.7MM (3.151): $5.4MM (3.146): $1.1MM (3.121): $1.8MM (3.106): $1.8MM (3.055): $800K (2.153): $2.4MM Mets (9) (5.105): $2.2MM (5.093): $3.6MM (5.089): $7.6MM (5.087): $1.35MM (4.031): $2.6MM (3.011): $1MM (2.170): $1.3MM (2.164): $2.4MM (2.143): $1.4MM Nationals (9) (5.160): $1MM (4.142): $7MM (4.075): $1.35MM (4.022): $1MM (4.000): $4.7MM (3.171): $1.5MM (3.130): $5.6MM (2.152): $3.3MM (2.141): $1.3MM Orioles (14) (5.105): $7.8MM (5.083): $3MM (5.067): $1.5MM (5.047): $6MM (4.132): $2.7MM (4.112): $1.7MM (4.112): $5.1MM (4.000): $6.8MM (4.000): $2.1MM (3.160): $2.8MM (3.065): $1.8MM (3.036): $6.6MM (3.036): $1.8MM (3.019): $900K Padres (7) (5.140): $3.6MM (5.132): $6.8MM (4.076): $4.3MM (3.065): $3.5MM (3.003): $1MM (2.166): $3.4MM (2.165: $1.8MM Phillies (9) (5.165): $10.4MM (5.140): $3.9MM (5.106): $10.3MM (4.148): $925K (4.078): $4.5MM (4.000): $7.6MM (4.000): $5.8MM (3.092): $1.2MM (3.006): $1MM Pirates (9) (5.126): $3.4MM (4.078): $2MM (4.020): $2.7MM (3.167): $1.2MM (3.135): $1.2MM (3.120): $1.7MM (3.110): $3.6MM (3.056): $800K (2.170): $1.7MM Rangers (9) (5.097): $6MM (5.095): $12.1MM (5.055): $1.1MM (5.046): $2MM (5.007): $1.4MM (3.129): $3MM (3.127): $3.5MM (3.050): $1.4MM (3.023): $2.9MM Rays (17) (4.158): $3.6MM (4.096): $1.2MM (4.092): $2MM (Rays hold a $2.45MM club option with a $50K buyout) (4.091): $3.6MM (4.060): $2.1MM (3.158): $3.1MM (3.149): $2.4MM (3.117): $2.6MM (3.114): $900K (3.093): $2.9MM (3.049): $1.5MM (3.005): $3.7MM (2.169): $800K (2.156): $1MM (2.156): $1MM (2.150): $1.4MM (2.139): $1.2MM Red Sox (9) (5.145): $13.5MM (4.100): $3.95MM (3.155): $8.4MM (Red Sox hold an $8MM club option with a $100K buyout) (3.136): $2.75MM (3.083): $1.8MM (3.079): $1.6MM (3.032): $1.7MM : (3.003): $800K (2.150): $1.1MM Reds (14) (5.156): $11.9MM (5.149): $2.9MM (5.114): $5MM (5.056): $6.4MM (4.077): $1.5MM (4.023): $1.2MM (4.000): $4.3MM (3.130): $1.4MM (3.112): $4.9MM (3.099): $2.4MM (3.035): $4.5MM (3.003): $1.7MM (2.140): $2.6MM (2.139): $800K Rockies (7) (5.153): $3.8MM (Estradas contract contains a $7MM mutual option with a $750K buyout) (4.069): $1.5MM (4.027): $4.2MM (3.150): $900K (3.071): $2.3MM (3.046): $1.8MM (2.161): $3.2MM Royals (16) (5.148): $1.9MM (5.135): $6MM (5.027): $3.8MM (5.000): $7.4MM (4.151): $1.8MM (4.043): $2.7MM (3.138): $3.3MM (3.136): $1.3MM (3.121): $950K (3.101): $5.4MM (3.082): $1.2MM (3.068): $2MM (3.016): $2.65MM (2.168): $4.8MM (2.150): $800K (2.136): $1.9MM Tigers (14) (5.114): $17.8MM (5.111): $5.4MM (5.040): $2.9MM (4.100): $3.3MM (4.099): $3.5MM (4.026): $3.1MM (3.150): $3.15MM (3.145): $900K (3.133): $1.8MM (3.110): $6.6MM (3.076): $5.1MM (3.057): $3.5MM (3.056): $1.3MM (3.047): $1.7MM Twins (10) (5.149): $1.4MM (5.089): $6.6MM (5.044): $1.7MM (Twins hold a $2MM club option with a $225K buyout) (5.044): $1.4MM (4.093): $4.6MM (4.033): $5.8MM (4.014): $4.7MM (3.142): $3MM (3.082): $1.1MM (3.017): $1.3MM White Sox (3) (5.143): $3.4MM (3.166): $1.5MM (3.040): $1MM Yankees (14) (5.075): $10.2MM (5.073): $9MM (5.031): $3MM (4.148): $4.9MM (4.071): $6.6MM (3.091): $841K (3.081): $941K (3.073): $2.1MM (3.063): $800K (3.051): $1MM (3.050): $1.2MM (3.035): $1.3MM (3.000): $3.9MM (2.170): $1.9MM Mickey Lolich Jersey