NFL Week 7 odds picks Titans hand Steelers their first loss Chiefs blow out Broncos on road

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It's hard to believe that we're already in Week 7 of the regular season. It feels like I blinked in August and as soon as I opened my eyes pumpkin spice lattes, jack-o'-lanterns wearing masks, and that brisk northeast breeze hit me in the face like a ton of bricks. Over that flash, however, we've seen a ton of great football and that is expected to continue this week with some solid matchups, including the heading to Las Vegas, squaring off against his former squad, and a battle of the unbeatens between Tenne see and Pittsburgh. These were the types of matchups that we were dreaming of over the summer and now we have them in spades. On top of simply enjoying the action this weekend, we're going to take a look at every matchup on the Week 7 slate and figure out who I like best from a betting perspective. Before we jump into that, we'll talk briefly about a rough Week 6 by yours truly (6-8 ATS, 8-6 SU). Two picks that I misread were New England and the L.A. . I had both teams surrendering points and it turned around to be a SU lo s for both. Yikes. We did recover, however, by leaning on the talent of the , who covered as a road favorite against Buffalo, and Pittsburgh to DeMarcus Ware Jersey keep us at a respectable level. Now, we're ready to rebound and have a very strong Week 7, starting with my locks of the week. All odds via WIlliam Hill Sportsbook. Locks of the Week Who'll win and cover the spread in Week 7? Pete Prisco, R.J. White and SportsLine's Kenny White join Will Brinson on the Pick Six Podcast to make their best bets and break down every game; listen below and for daily NFL goodne s. N.Y. at Philadelphia Thursday, Oct. 22, 8:20 p.m. ET (Fox/NFLN) Point spread: Philadelphia -4 Philadelphia's offense has been in shambles for the bulk of 2020 and is now going into this matchup with New York likely without two more key weapons in running back and tight end . While the Giants defense has a reputation of being a bottom-tier unit, they are actually in the middle of the road, ranking 17th in the league in DVOA. Not great, but not terrible. That should be enough against this offense. Meanwhile, the Giants are 3-0 ATS on the road this season and have covered in six straight. Over the last three seasons, Carson Wentz has covered just 23% of his games as a home favorite, which is the worst coverage percentage among quarterbacks who qualify. Netane Muti Jersey Pick: N.Y. Giants and the points Score prediction: Philadelphia 23, N.Y. Giants 21 Which picks can you make with confidence in Week 7? And whichcontender goes down hard?Visit SportsLine to see which NFL teams are winning more than 50 percent of simulations, all from the model that's up over $ Duke Dawson Jr. Jersey 7,800 on its top-rated picks. Green Bay at Houston Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox) Point spread: Green Bay -3.5 I expect a strong bounce back from the after a blowout lo s to the Buccaneers in Tampa. I don't foresee turning the ball over twice once again, especially against a Houston defense that ranks 27th in the league in DVOA. should also find succe s against a Houston run defense that is allowing 5.9 yards per rush. Green Bay is 9-0 ATS following their last nine ATS lo ses and has struggled to keep his team in games this year. The quarterback is 0-4 ATS in 2020 as an underdog. Pick: Green Bay -3.5 Score prediction: Green Bay 30, Houston 17 Seattle at Arizona Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET (Fox) Point spread: Seattle -3.5 The were able to beat up on and the on Monday Night Football, but are looking at a much different test in the undefeated Sehawks this weekend. Seattle is coming off their bye in Week 6, which is a spot that Pete Carroll typically thrives in. Over the last three seasons, Seattle has covered coming out of the bye. should continue to chart his MVP course and isn't in the backfield to give Arizona the ball two times to begin the game. Pick: Seattle -3.5 Score prediction: Seattle 27, Arizona 21 Pittsburgh at Tenne see Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS) Point spread: Pittsburgh -2 This is arguably the biggest game on the Week 7 slate as only one team between the and will come out of Week 7 still unbeaten on the year. While losing star tackle is certainly a ma sive blow to Tenne see, I still like this Titans in this spot. should continue his beastly pace and should find even more succe s on the ground with Steelers linebacker out for the year. offense is also averaging 42 points per game since getting over the COVID-19 outbreak and are 13-2 with him as the starter in the regular season. Slowing down Big Ben and rookie star will be tough, but Tannehill has enough horses to go toe-to-toe with them if need be. I also don't hate Tenne see moneyline here at +110. Pick: Tenne see and the points Score prediction: Tenne see 24, Pittsburgh 21 Kansas City at Denver Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS) Point spread: Kansas City -10 Denver is coming off an upset Denver Broncos Jersey win over the Patriots in New England, but that game may have spoken more to poor play by the Patriots offense than anything else. Kansas City, meanwhile, had a nine-point cushion in their win over the on Monday in a game that felt largely close. This game has the feeling of a track meet that features the typical barrage of points that we've grown accustomed to with the Chiefs over the last few years. K.C. has covered six-straight games at Denver and is 12-2-1 ATS in its last 15 games (including postseason). Pick: Kansas City -10 Point spread: Kansas City 30, Denver 17 Rest of the Bunch Buffalo (-13) at N.Y. Pick: Buffalo -13 Score prediction: Buffalo 27, N.Y. Jets 10 Detroit at Atlanta (-2) Pick: Detroit and the points Score prediction: Detroit 27, Atlanta 24 Cleveland (-3) at Cincinnati Pick: Cincinnati and the points Score prediction: Cleveland 23, Cincinnati 21 Dallas at Washington Pick: Washington Score prediction: Washington 17, Dallas 14 Carolina at New Orleans (-7.5) Pick: Carolina +7.5 Score prediction: New Orleans 28, Carolina 24 San Francisco at New England (-2 McTelvin Agim Jersey .5) Pick: San Francisco and the points Score prediction: San Francisco 24, New England 17 Jacksonville at L.A. (-7.5) Pick: L.A. Chargers -7.5 Score prediction: L.A. Chargers 24, Jacksonville 13 Tampa Bay (-3) at Las Vegas Pick: Tampa Bay -3 Score prediction: Tampa Bay 21, Las Vegas 16 Chicago at L.A. Rams (-5.5) Pick: Chicago and the points Score prediction: L.A. Rams 21, Chicago 17 Picks Record Against the spread in Week 6:6-8 ATS overall:47-42-1 Straight up in Week 6:8-6 SU overall:60-30-1

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